Before it begun, several reporters were caught on a hot mic, coordinating the questions that they would ask. Even if every poll were to reflect an accurate sampling without any stacking, Romney would probably not be ahead in them all. This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released. Republicans were also banking on national polls that were kinder to Romney than state surveys. Obama defeated Romney, winning a majority of both the Electoral College and the popular vote. Share. between 35 and 40 at the most. The good news for Obama is … Obama vs. Romney on the issuesWhile none of these numbers is ideal for a president facing re-election, Obama is now tied with Romney (43 percent to … That leaves no more than a handful of independents. The national polls now range from showing a 1-point lead for Mr. Romney to slightly more than a 4-point advantage for Mr. Obama. Â. The Democratic ticket received 51.1% of the popular vote, while the Republican ticket received 47.2% of the vote. HuffPost is part of Verizon Media. In reality, as with most bounces, it was more akin to a trampoline. You can change your choices at any time by visiting Your Privacy Controls. The reason this is important is because according to many polls, including both Rasmussen and the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll, Romney has a 11% lead with independents. Gallup shows Romney gaining a point, with Obama ahead 50 to 44 percentage points. It could be a true reflection of the difference between polls that show registered and likely voters. RCP Electoral College Map Changes in Electoral Count Map With No Toss Up States RCP Governor Ratings, Map Romney, Obama Favorables Obama vs. Bush Approval See the full poll here via the Post’s nifty graphic. Information about your device and internet connection, including your IP address, Browsing and search activity while using Verizon Media websites and apps. I guess they forgot that Obama did something quite similar in 2008 in an attempt to hurt John McCain and continue to tie him to Bush. See the latest estimates and poll results at HuffPost Pollster. It could be a true reflection of the difference between polls that show registered and likely voters. Economics, not Israel, matters to voters. Check poll Headlines for the latest Presidential polls. Certain people would have you believe that the Obama bounce was like a Saturn V rocket, propelling the embattled president well beyond the straosphere and into orbit. EpicLLOYD as Mitt Romney Alphacat as Barack Obama Nice Peter as Abe Lincoln Dante Cimadamore as a bald eagle(cameo, using green screen) Gallup shows Romney gaining a point, with Obama ahead 50 to 44 percentage points. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than 2008. Independents were under-sampled by nearly 25%, while Democrats were oversampled by 12%. An accurate reflection of likely Democrat, Republican and Independent voters would realign the poll to show Romney leading Obama, 53% to 45%.Â. President Barack Obama (D) won re-election by defeating former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, President Obama Polls Paint Confusing Picture Going Into Final Debate Before Election - Duration: ... Obama vs. Romney: Second Presidential Debate - Duration: 1:40:37. US Obama Romney. CNN, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, NBC and NPR are all famous for not just presenting their audiences with liberal commentators, but anchors as well. Independents favor Romney 54% to 40%. Undersampling independents means that Romney will come across as weaker than he actually is. Mitt Romney has taken a six-point lead over President Obama in the latest Gallup national tracking poll -- his biggest lead to date and the first time he has led outside the margin of error. The national polls, as it turned out, were not systematically biased against Republican Mitt Romney… To enable Verizon Media and our partners to process your personal data select 'I agree', or select 'Manage settings' for more information and to manage your choices. National House Polls. The 2012 campaign focused on economic issues including the Affordable Care Act and job creation.The 2012 electoral map is above. Let us tackle the latter first, since it is much less complicated. The Gallup poll gave Romney 51 percent compared to Obama's 45 percent. One thing for certian however, is that he is not doing nearly as badly as the mainstream media would have you believe. Romney holds a double-digit lead over Obama on just one issue tested in the poll: who would better deal with the federal budget deficit. Rasmussen has Romney up ahead of Obama, 48 to 45 percentage points. The most prominent example of this was a CNN/ORC poll released on September 10th, which showed a staggering bounce for President Obama. As Bill Clinton said, it's all about the arithmatic, which both professional and amateur reporters have exposed.Â, This disaster of a poll breaks down like this: 50.4% Democrats, 45.4% Republicans and 4.2% independents. National Polls. And in 2008, Obama … The aforementioned CNN/ORC poll polled 441 registered Democrats, 397 registered Republicans in an sample size of 822 registered voters. Normally they tell you to take polls this far out ahead of the election with a grain of salt. More Election 2012. Sadly, it worked. Electoral College. US - 2012 Presidential Election: Barack Obama 50% - Mitt Romney 49% - (IBD/TIPP 11/05/2012) chart & more info. Tracking the polls in the race for the White House as Barack Obama and Mitt Romney go head-to-head in the battle for the US presidency. This is a gross mischarictarization of a huge part of the electorate which right now is favoring Governor Romney. That would be crazy. Gallup for instance, uses registered voters. New poll finds that Obama out-polls Romney by 59 percent to 27 percent among Jewish voters. By Benjamin Feinblum. It has to be understood what the plan was for these reporters. Polling data shows that Obama's lead is widening. The questionable CNN/ORC survey that came out September 10th? The intent was to set the tone for the 24 hours news cycle. Of these, Mr. Obama led in 19 polls, and two showed a tie. The poll finds that this year’s debates collectively have had a much more positive impact on opinions of Romney than on views of Obama. In 2012, Obama won 89.7 per cent of the toss-ups, moving from 201 in the final estimate to 332 in the results of his election against Mitt Romney. Brad Knickerbocker, ... On the other hand, a Pew poll gives Obama the lead, 49 to 45, and a Quinnipiac survey has Obama up 46-42. Polls and chart for 2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama. The answer lies within two things: stacked polls, and a coordinated media determined to make Mitt Romney look like the devil. Like the USA Today/Gallup poll, this poll shows improvement for Romney. Was is because the DNC was that good? Poll: Romney, Obama deadlocked in Fla. A new poll released Saturday shows President Obama and presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney deadlocked in the key swing state of … Obama vs. Romney: Your guide to poll-watching. We and our partners will store and/or access information on your device through the use of cookies and similar technologies, to display personalised ads and content, for ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Obama (D) vs. Romney (R) 2012 vs. 2008, 2012 vs. 2004 Obama Job Approval Right Direction/Wrong Track Latest Election 2012 Polls. Obama vs Romney Polls: Obama Gaining Significant Momentum. Now for the second issue, which is stacking the polls. President Obama's convention bounce is over in most polls and fading in the rest. Sep. 10, 2012. The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue collar for him to lead most polls. Polls like this are typically divided up into Democrats, Republicans and Independents.Â, This poll showed Obama up ahead of Romney by a deafening 52% to 46%. Depending on which organization is doing the polling, people can see a wide variety of things emerge on the same day. Â. It was because the poll oversampled Democrats, and undersampled Independents. In the case of this CNN/ORC, you should take it with a huge shot of penicillin, just to be safe. Twice as many voters say they have a better opinion of Romney as a result of the debates than say that about Obama (36% vs. 18%). Mitt Romney (R) on November 6, 2012.Obama received 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206 electoral votes, a decrease from the president’s 365 electoral votes in 2008. The daily online poll asked 990 likely voters over the previous four days which candidate they would pick if the vote took place today, with 48 percent choosing Obama and 41 percent picking Romney. Rasmussen uses likely voters, which has historically been more accurate, even if only within a point or two.Â, Many recent polls, especially those that came out after the Democrat National Convention, were amazingly skewered in President Obama's favor. Find out more about how we use your information in our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama Obama vs. Romney polls and charts, including national polls and swing state's poll updated every minute. Poll Date Sample Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread; RCP Average: 4/11 - 4/26--47.8: 43.7: … Most people know that unless you are talking about Fox News or talk radio, you're going to get somewhat of a liberal slant with your news. In an economy this bad, some people may wonder how he is staying afloat at all. That large lead was slightly smaller than that recorded by the same poll on Thursday, which gave Romney a seven point lead among likely voters. Not only did the rest of the media pile on the tone set that Romney jumped the gun, some cowardly Republicans afraid of looking like they're actually batting for their own team did as well. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida. The plan was not to try and worm an answer out of Romney. The morning after the assault on the Egyptian embassy and the Libyan consulate which led to the death of Ambassador Chris Stevens, GOP Presidential Nominee Mitt Romney held a press conference. It could also be because of the fact that the federal government just filed suit against Gallup, coincidentally after an unfavorable poll. Naww. There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Together, the polls contain both good and bad news for Obama's reelection chances. The Gallup poll also revealed that Romney leads Obama with a wide margin among voters in the 30-49 year age bracket. No. Election 2008: Obama vs. McCain and Romney Obama, McCain Tied at 44%; Obama Leads Romney by Nine. Obama won 332 electoral votes and 51.1% of the popular vote compared to Romney's … In the same poll conducted in February, Obama had a nine percentage point lead. 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